|
American revolutionary Emma Goldman once said: “It is not my
revolution if I cannot dance to it”. Well, there has certainly been a
lot of dancing going on in the streets of Kiev over the last two
months, but how much real revolutionary change has there been? Apart
from the well orchestrated praise heaped on the “heroic” pro-western
movement by most big business media, many of the liberal media were
quick – this time – to unveil the financial backing the Ukrainian
opposition had received from the West and to point to movements that
followed almost the same pattern recently elsewhere in Eastern Europe
and the Balkans. So what do we make out of these movements in the last
few years?
Let’s take a closer look at the nature of these movements. Indeed,
the whole scenario in the Ukraine resembles very much the post election
tactics used by the pro-western opposition movements in Georgia in 2003
and Serbia in 1996 and partly 2000. Just like in Serbia, Georgia or
Byelorussia, western regimes and their organizations pumped millions of
dollars into the Ukrainian pro-western opposition movement and the NGO
network during the nineties. We are not inventing anything here –
Ukrainian opposition activists themselves hardly even attempt to hide
these ties. If you were a western journalist, Serbian Otpor movement
“veterans” would be more then willing to boast in front of your cameras
and tell you how, with a little help of their friends from the American
embassy, they were involved in training the Ukrainian youth movement Pora and the Byelorussian Zubr.
It does not take a major investigative journalistic effort to “uncover”
this. However, similarities flow from something much deeper then
western financial backing. “Rose”, “Orange” or Serbian “anti-Milosevic”
movements have all been products of a unique situation in which these
former deformed workers’ states (Stalinist regimes) found themselves at
the beginning of the millennium. The mere fact that imperialism uses
the same methods shows us that the conditions and the class set up in
these societies are quite similar.
Instead of a promised “Swedish standard of living”, Eastern European
countries found themselves much closer to Colombian standards after the
re-introduction of capitalism in the nineties. Apart from a few
so-called “successful” examples of transition in countries such as the
Czech Republic, Hungary or Slovenia where a certain level of production
has been re-established with the investment of foreign corporations,
most Eastern European countries never saw significant investment of
capital from the West. Therefore they remained in a kind of limbo – a
system that combined the worst features of both the corrupt
bureaucratised past and ruthless mafia capitalism.
Most of these countries had gone through a degree of
industrialisation during decades of planned economy and had developed a
large urbanised working class. With the collapse of the old Stalinist
regimes, those who were lucky enough to save their jobs found
themselves retaining the minimum level of production under the
supervision of the same old party bureaucrat who now became the owner
of the factory.
It was exactly this layer of privileged ex-bureaucracy that carried
out the initial wave of privatisation with the full backing of the
West. Slobodan Milosevic, Leonid Kuchma and Eduard Shevardnadze were
all representatives of that section of the old bureaucracy that had
decided to move in the direction of capitalism. Most of these oligarchs
drew their power from the previous state giants that were broken up and
turned into their own private companies. However, after a period, the
interests of this layer came into conflict with those of their western
backers. The imperialists wanted full control over the economies of
these countries. Faced with this growing pressure from imperialism,
these ex-bureaucrats began to realise that further liberalisation of
their markets would mean their own self-destruction. They and their
power base would be wiped out. Thus they started to slow down the
“reforms” and continued to rule in a semi-bonapartist manner keeping a
tight grip on society.
In reaction to this “disobedience” of these local oligarchs, the
West started organizing a huge propaganda apparatus in these countries,
built mainly through a thick network of various non-governmental
organizations, which was supposed to exploit the anti-establishment
sentiment within society. This movement attracted almost exclusively
the intelligentsia and the youth. The working class, although it was
clearly fed up with these corrupt regimes, could not be attracted by
the calls for further liberalisation of the markets. Also, the openly
anti-working class sentiments of these organizations meant they could
not penetrate into the working class. The false propaganda that these
movements spread among the population consisted in the false idea that
the main reason for the harsh living conditions and economic collapse
were to be found not in the pro-market “reforms” that had started
earlier in these countries, but in the fact that these measures had not
been implemented thoroughly and fast enough.
All this explains why these movements have been concentrated mainly
in the major cities – especially the capital cities where the petit
bourgeois is strongest. They have also based themselves on the youth,
mainly the student youth, the intelligentsia and middle classes of
these respective countries with little or no participation of the
working class.
The protests are more like carnivals, with a lot of showmanship. The
tactics applied are inspired by so-called “civil society”, “civil
disobedience” and non-violence, of the philosophy of “moral
superiority”, placing themselves in the role of victim. Most of the
actions during these protests are not directed against the local ruling
structures but rather towards the western “public opinion” with the aim
of gaining compassion and sympathy.
Together with the predominant mood of wanting to fight the
autocratic regimes, a subtle mix of nationalism and anti-communism is
always present, with the ruling layer presented as the relic of the old
Stalinist bureaucracies that are blocking the movement towards the
European Union and “future prosperity”. The frustration of the
intelligentsia and the petit bourgeoisie can be felt on the streets.
They envisage a place for themselves under capitalism, but they feel
they are being held hostage by a massive working class which opposes
any further move “forward”.
The western media mainly focuses on the youth wings of these movements, which are almost a perfect carbon copy of the original Otpor
movement in Serbia. There has been a lot of talk about them being the
main organizers and backbone of the movement. The truth of the matter
is that these organizations are exploited mainly as propaganda tools
but they also add substance which gives the movement an appealing
honest kind of image.
It would, however, be a mistake to see these organisations simply as
artificial “creations”. Even though they are openly financed by the
west and its leadership is trained in NGO schools, because of the lack
of any real alternative in fighting against oppression, these movements
have managed to activate large sections of the youth.
Another common characteristic is the low political level nurtured by
these groups, orientating their membership almost exclusively towards
activism. The political goal is presented in very simple, shortsighted
terms with their propaganda concentrated against corrupt individuals at
the top. Once that specific goal is reached, thousands of youth – who
for the first time in their lives had engaged in social struggle – are
left out in the cold, with the organizations they have joined falling
into a state of collapse and any attempt to continue activity or deepen
their analysis being suppressed. For example, in Serbia the once
powerful Otpor counting thousands of members has dwindled in
no time to an insignificant political party of a few dozen active
members. The main role of Otpor, Pora and other NGOs
in Eastern Europe and the “Third World” is therefore to attract and
pacify the youth vanguard and serve as buffer against any prospective
movement.
These movements were not designed to be revolutionary. The last
thing the western bourgeoisie wants to see is the movement of the
masses, even though these might be turning against the same people they
want to get rid off. All of these movements were set up with the idea
of putting pressure on disobedient so-called “rogue” regimes, and not
for any kind of revolutionary change. Far from it! The kind of regime
they want to put in place is one that is completely subservient to
imperialism.
The fact that regimes such as those that have been brought down in
these countries, have fallen so easily under the pressure of these
“movements” speaks more about the rottenness of the system than any
potential revolutionary strength of these movements. Let us recall that
much bigger and longer lasting demonstrations in Belgrade in 1996 than
the ones in Kiev recently did not succeed in overthrowing Milosevic at
that time. It was not until 2001 that the opposition managed to win
support from a section of the Serbian working class. It is significant
that this small flexing of the muscles of the Serbian working class
changed the whole outlook of the demonstrations. Showmanship and
light-hearted humour disappeared and effective action took their place.
In one day the movement, reinforced with militant workers, achieved
more than in 84 days of citizens’ disobedience and peaceful marches.
But unfortunately due to the lack of a mass revolutionary party, its
ultimate results were more or less the same as in Georgia and Ukraine –
a simple regime change and faster movement towards capitalism.
The people of the Ukraine should take a closer look at the country
the so-called “orange revolution” was modelled on. After two major mass
movements in the nineties against Milosevic and a spectacular overthrow
on October 5, 2001, the situation in Serbia has not changed much and
the same people who marched in the streets are now tired and cynical.
It will not be long before the articles about the brave “orange
revolutionaries” will disappear from the pages of the bourgeois press.
Yuschenko will be president and the Ukraine will be old news, foreign
journalists will pack and leave Kiev, Pora will be dismissed, people will start to feel cheated and only a tiny minority will profit from the whole process.
The Ukrainian workers, the Ukrainian people, must avoid falling into
this trap! There must be an understanding that this is not the end but
only a beginning. The spirit of organizing must and will survive in the
most advanced and honest layers of the ordinary participants in the
orange protests, for not all those protesting were pro-imperialist
ex-bureaucrats. Some people honestly believed the propaganda of the
movement, as they did in Serbia. Once the new regime is solidly in
power, they will ask themselves why the same organisations that shouted
such militant slogans against the corruption under Kuchma are now be
silent under Yuschenko even though things have not improved. This
experience will teach. Already a large part of the Ukrainian working
class was not supporting the “orange” movement. The experience of the
next period will teach the workers and the youth – whether they were in
the movement or not – that there is no fundamental difference between
the two camps that faced each other in the recent elections.
They will come to the conclusion that the workers need their own
organisations. They will start building organisations controlled and
organized by themselves, independent of western donations and
hypocritical NGOs. Harsh reality will teach them that they cannot
safely rely on anyone but the Ukrainian working class whose interests
are truly connected with the genuine advancement of Ukraine. Maybe from
that moment on they may even decide to change their trademark colour
from orange to red. After all, it will finally be their own choice and
not some western marketing agency’s idea.
|