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Germany has entered a new period of unrest and instability as the Schröder
government is pursuing attack after attack - on the welfare state, the working
class, the unemployed, the poor, the sick, old age pensioners. This is against
the interests of the working class, the majority of the population and
especially those who secured a narrow re-election of chancellor Gerhard
Schröder's coalition just 14 months ago.
Faced with constantly high unemployment (nearly 4.5m, unofficially around
6m), recession, rising public debts (far beyond what the European "stability
pact" permits) and bleak economic perspectives, the federal government (a
coalition of Social Democrats - SPD - and Greens) has put all its eggs in one
basket: the new course, named "Agenda 2010", which was announced in
March, 2003, and is being moulded into legislation this autumn and winter. It
will mean increasing poverty for the millions of long term unemployed, starving
them into low paid temporary and part time jobs as well as cuts in health
insurance and pensions. Schröder's perspective is that this will force the
unemployed to display more ‘individual initiative’, thus bringing about the
decisive ignition and push that the economy needs to return to a golden period
of prosperity for all. In spite of the fact that on average there are 10 job
seekers per vacancy, Social democratic spokesmen and party loyalists - who are
increasingly getting out of touch with reality - claim that within 2-3 years,
just in time for the elections due in 2006, people would realise the benefits of
this policy and return the Schröder government for a third term.
Yet while blackmailing the MPs of the SPD and Greens (who hold a narrow
majority in the Bundestag) into endorsing the "party line" even without really
knowing what they are voting on and what the detrimental effects will be to
their voters, the SPD has begun to suffer a series of bitter defeats in local
and regional elections.
In the state of Bavaria, for instance, in late September the ruling
conservative Christian Social party, CSU, scored a two thirds majority in the
state parliament (Landtag) simply on the basis of massive abstentions, mainly on
the part of disenchanted SPD voters. In this southern state, where the CSU has
been in power for over 45 years, the "party of non-voters" turned out
to be by far the biggest party. Similar landslide results are to be expected
from a series of elections in 2004. This does not reflect a shift to the right -
extreme right wing parties have not done well in recent elections - but a major
frustration with a government carrying out Tory policies which they neither
announced in the election campaign nor got a mandate for in the Bundestag
elections in September, 2002.
Many union activists, who had been loyal SPD supporters for a long time, now
feel politically homeless and helpless at the same time. Quite a few
long-standing members and party activists have turned their backs on the party
recently - the overall figure of resignations from the party since Schröder
came into office in 1998 is over 100,000. In Northrhine-Westfalia, the
traditional industrial heartland of Germany and a traditional social democratic
stronghold, the Christian Democrats (CDU) now claim more members than the Social
Democrats. Schröder may find some solace in the fact that while workers run
away, Mr. Michael Rogowsky, head of the German industrialists' confederation,
recently admitted publicly that he personally might vote in favour of a return
of the Schröder government in 2006! Yet the present chancellor may rather be
faced with a fate similar to what happened to the previous Social Democratic
chancellor, Helmut Schmidt, in 1982: Schmidt had faithfully carried out the
dirty work of the capitalists until they made up their minds in favour of a
genuine bourgeois government, ousted Schmidt and put Helmut Kohl, then CDU
leader, in his place.
While the gap left behind by the resignation of critical SPD members from a
trade union and/or left wing background is being filled by Schröderite yuppies
and carreerist elements for the time being, it is noticeable that at the recent
SPD national conference two prominent Schröderites and key figures in the
chancellor's clique did very badly in the elections to the new party executive:
Wolfgang Clement, Schröder's Minister of the Economy and Labour, and Olaf
Scholz, the party's general secretary. The latter, an ex-Stalinist and
left-wing phrasemonger in the Young Socialist national committee 20 years ago,
just managed to avoid a humiliating defeat as he scored just a handful of votes
above the critical overall majority of 50% plus 1 of the votes cast required to
be elected at all. This incident demonstrates that even at this stage and while
a majority of the delegates to a national conference are loyalists, MPs, mayors
or hold other well-paid full-time political positions, there is growing
criticism and uneasiness in the party about the damage caused by the policy of
Schröder & Co.
While the Christian Democrats have taken over former social democratic
strongholds in the last few years, i.e. town halls and federal states they would
not have dreamt of before, their relative strength mainly lies in the weakness
of the SPD. Where the Christian Democrats hold office (this is the case in most
of the federal states now), they are also being confronted with a popular mood
of criticism and unrest. In the state of Hessen, for instance, prime minister
Roland Koch, an ambitious reactionary CDU politician and would-be chancellor and
enthusiastic supporter and epigone of George W. Bush's foreign and home policy,
provoked the biggest ever regional mobilisation for a weekday demonstration for
decades. 45,000 civil servants, policemen in uniforms, lumberjacks with their
motor saws and axes, teachers, university students, school students, social
workers, handicapped and poor people flooded into Wiesbaden, the state capital,
on November 18 to protest against the detrimental consequences of the new 2004
state budget.
These attacks (cuts to the amount of 1 billion Euro) include drastic salary
cuts and increases in the working time for civil servants, the destruction of
thousands of public sector jobs, privatisation, cuts in education, and the
dismantling of a network of welfare institutions, shelters and establishments
bitterly needed by an ever increasing number of people due to unemployment,
over-indebtedness, domestic violence and other serious individual problems and
disasters in everyday life. Only nine months after he had scored an overall
majority in the February elections, Koch's attacks have forged a broad united
front of protest, and even associations and institutions traditionally close to
the CDU (such as Caritas, a major Catholic welfare institution, as well as the
obedient and tame non-TUC civil servants organisations around the Deutscher
Beamtenbund) have come out against Koch - many of them chanting slogans like
"Koch out" and "Too many cooks spoil the broth - in Hessen even
one cook is too much" ("Koch" means "cook").
Similar demos and campaigns have taken place in Northrhine-Westfalia (against
similar measures by the SPD-Green government there) and other states. On top of
that, the attempted introduction of tuition fees and an increasing trend to
return to the bad old times when workers' children could not afford higher
education is triggering a new movement of university students up and down the
country - including Bavaria where the wave of protest began last week.
Yet the biggest handicap for uniting and focusing the widespread social
unrest and raising the movement to a higher level at this moment in time lies in
the apparatus of the DGB (union federation) and its affiliated unions. The
protest rallies against "Agenda 2010" in May were conducted by the big
unions only half-heartedly whereas some more right wing union leaders (mainly
right wing social democrats) even boycotted those rallies and opted for
"dialogue", not confrontation with the Schröder administration. Yet
Schröder got a very cool reception and hardly any applause at the national
conferences of both IG Metall and ver.di, the country's and Europe's biggest
unions, in October. The enormous potential for a strong movement against growing
social inequality and the mainstream policies of dismantling the welfare state
was revealed on November 1 when over 100,000 people attended a national protest
rally in Berlin. This event was not organised by any of the national union
leaders (and in effect ignored or rather boycotted) and still rallied a
surprisingly high number of protesters as many local union organisations up and
down the country sponsored coaches and a sizeable number of curious and critical
Berliners turned up spontaneously, too. Only a few weeks before, the organising
committee for that demo (individual trade unionists, pressure groups, unemployed
workers' centres, and leftists) would have been happy with 20,000!
Whereas only a few years ago, i.e. in 2000, Schröder had put forward a
perspective for an ever growing economy and unemployment to be pushed down to 3
million with state indebtedness being reduced constantly (a balanced budget by
2005!!!). The harsh reality of capitalism is revealing that Blairism and
reformism have nothing to offer the working class. The Marxists around the
journal http://www.derfunke.de/Der Funke have made it absolutely clear in their
material sold at the demos that a real change in favour of the working class and
the vast majority of the population is incompatible with capitalism and
impossible without a fundamental change and shift of power in the economy. With
a set of transitional demands we hammer home that the power of big business, the
bankers and billionaires will have to be broken to make sure that the resources
of a rich country are fully used to ensure a decent life for all of us and a
bright future for coming generations. |